Best Player Prop Bets 1/12 : NBA

Shaun Moore
3 min readJan 12, 2024

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Dive into my three favorite player props for tonight’s matchups.

The Sporting News Illustration

Well last night’s slate was a sports bettor’s nightmare and showed why the NBA is often referred to as the National Blowout Association in the betting community (Blazers losing by 62 is insane).

But we move! I had free time last night to research in advance due to the blowouts taking place so, let’s look at my three favorite bets from the NBA tonight.

Paul George over 3.5 Threes at Memphis Grizzlies (best odds via Fanduel +132)

Paul George / Kelvin Kuo USA TODAY Sports

The volume is always there for PG to hit this line every night. In his last 10 games, 7 times he has made 4+ threes while averaging 9.1 attempts per game. On the opposite side, the Grizzlies rank 25th in Defensive 3-point Field Goal Percentage at 38.4% via NBA.com. This sounds like a match made in heaven for me. Hopefully Memphis can compete tonight because I do see blowout potential but, George would be the main contributor to an early run.

Domantas Sabonis over 22.5 points at Philadelphia 76ers (-120 via Fanduel)

Domantas Sabonis / Getty Images

While he has been playing lights-out basketball, they’re lighting the beam over in Sacramento for how dominating Sabonis has been over the past few games. He’s hit this line in 3/L5 games played and the Sixers are struggling with interior defense with Embiid out. I expect this to be a high-scoring game and with the Sixers allowing the 8th most points to centers, I expect Sabonis to contribute heavily.

Paolo Banchero over 7.5 rebounds at Miami Heat (-132 via Fanduel)

Paolo Banchero / Joe Camporeale USA TODAY Sports

Here’s another guy that is becoming one of my favorite players to watch. Now he is coming off a 2 rebound game from three days ago but, in his four career games against the Heat, he averages 9.0 total rebounds (13,10, and 8 in the last three). Miami currently ranks 26th in team rebounds and runs a smaller starting lineup than most in the league. With a lot of his offense coming from the post and being one of the bigger bodies on the floor, Paolo should be active on the boards tonight.

Parlayed together, the final odds for the three props are +637. Let us hope for a night of competitive basketball and not a repeat of what was shown last night. It’s a ten game slate tonight with tons of potential but, I’m going with the head guys to get it done.

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Shaun Moore
Shaun Moore

Written by Shaun Moore

Hi there! I love sports, writing, competition reality shows, and Rick and Morty. That is my life now.

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